What is the probability for "Arctic Sea Ice Volume for December 2023 = 12,500 km^3" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Arctic Sea Ice Volume for December 2023 >= 12,500 km^3" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 60% with 8 traders and $364 in volume.

Arctic Sea Ice Volume for December 2023 >= 12,500 km^3