What is the probability for "any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at https://lmarena.ai/ reaches an Arena Score of at least 1520.0 (≥1520)" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 3% with 27 traders and $11K in volume.

any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at https://lmarena.ai/ reaches an Arena Score of at least 1520.0 (≥1520)

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