What is the probability for "Any Gemini LLM will achieve a higher rating than all OpenAI's GPT-4 models on Chatbot Arena Leaderboard by Jan 1st 2025?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 34% with 7 traders and $87 in volume.

Any Gemini LLM will achieve a higher rating than all OpenAI's GPT-4 models on Chatbot Arena Leaderboard by Jan 1st 2025?

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