What is the probability for "An AI model will rate higher than GPT-4-Turbo on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard (OpenAI model or other) before May 2024" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 97% with 15 traders and $2K in volume.

An AI model will rate higher than GPT-4-Turbo on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard (OpenAI model or other) before May 2024

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