What is the probability for "According to Rolling Stone, Wagner mercenaries are now hunting the warlord Joseph Kony. Will he be apprehended in 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 19 traders and $10K in volume.

According to Rolling Stone, Wagner mercenaries are now hunting the warlord Joseph Kony. Will he be apprehended in 2024?

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