What is the probability for "45. Will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour at the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 4% with 146 traders and $20K in volume.

45. Will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour at the end of 2023?

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