What is the probability for "2023 Polish election and referendum: referendum to have =10 p.p. less voter turnout?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "2023 Polish election and referendum: referendum to have >=10 p.p. less voter turnout?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 81% with 10 traders and $224 in volume.

2023 Polish election and referendum: referendum to have >=10 p.p. less voter turnout?