What is the probability for "[100M Subsidy] Will Israel launch a ground invasion of Gaza before the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "[100M Subsidy] Will Israel launch a ground invasion of Gaza before  the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 98% with 22 traders and $5K in volume.

[100M Subsidy] Will Israel launch a ground invasion of Gaza before the end of 2023?